RE: Marketing list action: Market Research for GNOME and GNU/Linux



On Mon, 2004-10-18 at 08:59 +1300, John Williams wrote:
[snip]
3. developers who wish to write software for Linux (who may or may not
be linux experts.) 
[snip]
I'm not sure what implications these other 'markets' have on your
analysis, John, or if you'd considered them and discarded them out of
hand. But I'd love to hear what you think. 
Aw, shucks :-)  Thanks!  No, I hadn't considered them.  I was being a
myopic user.  I suppose that my position now is: probably forget (4).
Maybe forget (I mean, do not concentrate on) (3).   

My reasoning for choosing not to focus on (3) is this.  I used to be an
OS/2 user.  I was driven to OS/2 because I was sick of Windows crashing
and corrupting/losing my data.  OS/2 was great.  (BTW: and the Workplace
Shell remains the best GUI I have ever used.)  But there were no
applications.  I ended up using many Unix/Linux applications that were
ported to OS/2, just to get my work done.  I ended up using so many
Linux apps that I thought I'd try Linux.  So I did, and never looked
back, really.

Here is my point: OS/2 failed because no-one was developing for OS/2.
Why not?  There were no users.  IBM, IIRC, was bending over backwards to
help developers get started.  But they had no motivation.  "Aha!", you
may say.  "But that was commercial software developers.  FOSS developers
have different motivations."  I am curious as to whether this is true,
in the sense that the payoff for _any_ developer is, in a real sense,
that they are creating something useful that lots of people will use,
and enjoy using.

Who comes first developers or users? It's a chicken and egg problem I
guess, however you could argue that without (some) developers there
would be no Gnome, and without a strong developer base (remember, this
free software so people come and go) the project won't continue. Clearly
since Gnome is good enough for us to want to promote it we're doing OK
here (but could do better, but that, I think, has do with things other
than marketing, e.g. development tools, developer guides, etc).

<aside>
From talking to people IBM may have spent alot of money trying to get
people to develop for OS/2, but they didn't make it easy (in terms of
tools, docs, etc)
</aside>

The Linux installed base is already large enough (or important enough)
that many ISV's are already creating Linux versions of their software;

* Real recently switched Realplayer to GTK/Gnome
* Adobe do acroread for linux but they use motif(?) - why don't they use
GTK or just improve Gnome pdf viewer? 
* Vmware use GTK
* Probably more but it's late and I can't think

So I would add this to Luis segmentation to give (in order of likelyhood
to be 'convertable')

* FOSS hackers
* Other FOSS projects
* ISV's already developing Linux / Unix software
* ISV's not developing Linux / Unix software

I think it's vitally important to market to the first 3 to continue to
grow the userbase (which ever userbase we decide is important).

Paul



Rant, rant, rant.  I am getting a bit off-topic, I think.  

BTW, Claus mentioned that a possible answer to the "Who is 'we'?"
question is "The GNOME foundation".  I seem to remember that this was
discussed in the past, but I forget what the outcome was.

Ka kite ano,

John




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